Euros preview: Tuesday’s action including England vs Slovenia
France vs Poland
Without Kylian Mbappe, France were unable to break down the Netherlands in their second group stage game.
With that match ending goalless, now France require at least a point to reach the last 16. Poland’s tournament is effectively over, the side unable to progress after losing each of their first two group games.
Against an unexceptional Polish side, the French, who are amongst the favourites, should presumably have enough to get the win. But we did say that when they took on the Dutch too.
The good news for the French is that despite having broken his nose, Mbappe is apparently eager to make his return.
More than just a world class talent, the former Paris Saint-Germain star is also France’s good luck charm. Les Bleus have failed to win any of the seven games they’ve played without Mbappe over the last two years.
While Poland will want to go out with their heads held high, it will be surprising if Didier Deschamps’ side can’t find a way to win this. Back France and under 3.5 goals in a double at 23/25.
Netherlands vs Austria
The Netherlands need just a point to make it to the round of 16; Austria can reach the last 16 if they beat Ronald Koeman’s team. Which way does this one go?
Historically, the Dutch have had the advantage; they’ve beaten Austria in each of the last seven meetings between the two sides. But Ralf Rangnick’s side are performing well so far in this tournament; having played well against France before losing 1-0, they saw off Poland 3-1.
Meanwhile, the Netherlands can argue they were unfortunate not to win against France, after (Premier League) officials ruled out a goal for offside, somewhat controversially.
In other words, both sides look capable, with a decent Dutch side vying against a well-drilled Austria led by a coach who likes to see his team play on the front foot.
Back BTTS and over 2.5 goals in a double at 26/25 – or take Christoph Baumgartner to score at 21/4. He’s found the net in three of his last four appearances for Austria.
Denmark vs Serbia
The Danes have drawn both their first two group stage matches; Serbia were narrowly beaten by England, before drawing against Slovenia.
Either team could secure progress to the last 16 here in Munich. Slovenia are still in the mix too, with only England having made certain of a place in the knockout stages.
The Danes looked decent against England, though perhaps Gareth Southgate’s team’s underwhelming performance helped to make Kasper Hjulmand’s side look better.
In any case, Denmark are the favourites; their record against this side is encouraging too, having won each of their three matches against Serbia over the last ten years.
Christian Eriksen to provide an assist for Denmark is a 19/5 shot; that looks a decent shout, given he has created 11 chances in his last two appearances for his nation.
England vs Slovenia
England haven’t impressed in their two games to date in these Euros. Yet despite widespread criticism, the side are currently top of Group C – and head into their final group game already assured of reaching the last 16.
With some fans already demanding Gareth Southgate’s dismissal, imagine how bad things will be when England actually lose a game. Hopefully that won’t happen here in Cologne.
Indeed, winning this final group game would be a pretty good result for Gareth. Top their group by beating Slovenia, and England will go on to play one of the best third-placed sides from Group D, E, or F in the round of 16.
Alternatively, a second-place finish means they’ll meet hosts Germany instead. And if England lose on Tuesday and thus finish third in the group, they could wind up facing Portugal, another well-fancied side.
Overcoming Slovenia may not be easy, however. Matjaz Kek’s side have drawn each of their last three games 1-1, and have lost just one of their last 14 matches. Back in March, the team turned over that highly rated Portugal side 2-0.
Basically, it won’t be a shock if Slovenia are able to frustrate the Three Lions for much of this match.
In any case, Southgate is set to make changes, with expectations that Trent Alexander Arnold will be dropped, and Chelsea’s Conor Gallagher set to replace him in midfield. Could further changes to the starting 11 be in the pipeline too?
Whoever starts, we wouldn’t be surprised if this one is short on goals, and you can back under 2.5 at 10/11. Results-wise, an England win of 1-0 in the Correct Score market at 21/4 could be worth considering.
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