Premier League preview: Brighton v Newcastle, Chelsea vs Liverpool

Brighton v Newcastle

Newcastle United have won 14 matches this season, and 59 % of punters have snapped up the 13/10 about Eddie Howe’s side in the Match Odds market as they welcome Brighton & Hove Albion to Tyneside; the Magpies sit third on 62 points, while the visitors arrive nine points back in ninth. Brighton trimmed that gap with a 3-2 home victory over West Ham last weekend, yet they’ve taken just one point from their last two league trips, leaving bettors divided going into Saturday’s showdown.

Goals Expected at St James’ Park

Over 2.5 goals is the busiest selection on the coupon, drawing 73 % of stakes at 4/7. That confidence is underpinned by Newcastle’s free-scoring home form: Crystal Palace, Manchester United and Ipswich all conceded three or more here in April, and each of the Magpies’ last four St James’ Park league outings has cleared that line. Brighton’s own 3-2 thriller against West Ham and a 4-2 reverse at Brentford hint at similar entertainment, so some punters might see scope for another high-total contest.

Both Teams Trending to Score

A hefty 99 % are on Both Teams to Score ‘Yes’ at 4/9, and readers will need to decide for themselves whether the sub-1.50 price still offers value. The weight of money leans on a recent pattern: both sides have netted in three of the last four clashes, including a 1-1 draw on Tyneside last May and Brighton’s 3-1 success at the Amex earlier this season. Punters evidently believe another trade of blows could be on the cards.

Brighton Backers Take the Safety Net

Brighton’s resilience on the road has lured 89 % into the Double Chance (X2) market at 21/50, another odds-on quote that requires personal value judgement. That interest stems from the Seagulls’ recent record here: a 1-1 draw last May followed by October’s 1-0 triumph means they are unbeaten on their last two visits. With Newcastle’s sole home league defeat since February coming against Fulham, this insurance-style play offers a contrasting angle on an evenly poised contest.

The Most-Backed Odds Among UK Punters

• Newcastle United to win (13/10) – 59 % backing Magpies victory.
• Over 2.5 goals (4/7) – 73 % expecting three or more goals.
• Both Teams to Score – Yes (4/9) – 99 % anticipating goals at both ends. Odds below 1.50 – readers must decide if there’s sufficient value.
• Double Chance – Brighton or Draw (21/50) – 89 % preferring the Seagulls’ safety net. Odds below 1.50 – readers must decide if there’s sufficient value.

Chelsea vs Liverpool

Chelsea FC have won six of their last seven home matches, keeping clean sheets in four of those victories, and the Match Odds at 57/50 for a Chelsea win reflect growing confidence among punters.

Chelsea’s Home Fortunes

The Blues sit fifth with 60 points after 34 games, having scored 59 goals and conceded 40 across the campaign. Chelsea have netted at least once in ten of their last twelve home fixtures, and with Over 2.5 goals priced at 4/7, some punters might see value in expecting three or more goals at Stamford Bridge.

Recent Head-to-Head Tightness

Liverpool have edged Chelsea 2-1 on each of the last two meetings at Anfield, but twelve draws have come in the last twenty encounters overall. That tight record has fueled interest in the Double Chance at 27/100, and readers must decide themselves if there’s sufficient value on this low-odds safety play.

Both Teams Finding the Net

Both teams have scored in 11 of Chelsea’s last 16 home matches, hinting at open, end-to-end action. With Both Teams to Score – Yes available at 12/25, some punters might weigh up whether that fractional price offers enough value.

The Most-Backed Odds Among UK Punters

• Match Odds – Chelsea (57/50, 2.14) – backed after six wins in seven at home.
• Over 2.5 goals (4/7, 1.58) – popular pick expecting goals.
• Double Chance – 12 (27/100, 1.27) – safety play; readers must decide if there’s sufficient value.
• Both Teams to Score – Yes (12/25, 1.48) – lively pick; readers must decide if there’s sufficient value.

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Odds and stats based on UK betting markets, correct at time of publication.