Premier League preview: Saturday’s action including Brighton vs Arsenal
Crystal Palace vs Man City
Palace held City to a 2-2 draw at the Etihad when these sides met back in December; that was under Roy Hodgson.
With the Eagles having won only once since Oliver Glasner took the reins in February, can the Austrian possibly pull off an extraordinary victory against City in the lunchtime kick-off?
Palace have only managed three wins in their last 19 league games, so it’s the tallest of orders; particularly given those wins came against Burnley, Brentford and Sheffield United.
With City set for the trip to the Bernabeu for their Champions League quarter-final with Real Madrid next week, Guardiola may choose to rotate for this match. But whoever he plays, chances are they’ll prove too strong for Glasner’s side.
Still, Palace should at least be roused for this one, and with Michael Olise expected to return from injury, maybe the hosts can at least find the net. BTTS is a 21/20 shot.
Aston Villa vs Brentford
Villa look to bounce back from their midweek 4-1 defeat against Man City – and Brentford could be the perfect opponents to help Unai Emery get back on track.
The Bees are without a league win in their last eight matches, and have lost each of their last four away games. Villa aren’t dominating at Villa Park the way they were in the first half of the campaign, but should still have enough to stop Thomas Frank’s side.
Backing Villa and under 3.5 goals in a double at 17/10 could be the way to go; Brentford have only scored a total of three goals in their last four league matches. And rather than run riot, the Villans may be happy to opt for a straightforward victory.
Everton vs Burnley
In the reverse fixture, Everton saw off Burnley 2-0. Will Sean Dyche be able to make it two for two against his old club this week, or does Vincent Kompany take revenge at Goodison Park?
Each of these sides have shown signs of belated life recently. The Toffees drew against Newcastle on Tuesday with a late penalty – dispatched, thrillingly, by Dominic Calvert-Lewin. He’s back!
Meanwhile, Burnley are unbeaten in four league games – even if three of those ended in draws. Another stalemate could be on the cards here too, with Everton’s winless run currently extending to 13 league games. The draw is a 3/1 shot.
Fulham vs Newcastle
The Cottagers continue upon their erratic course, conceding three goals apiece against both Sheffield United and Forest in their last couple of games, having trounced Spurs 3-0 a couple of weeks earlier.
In fairness, Fulham have shown a bit of consistency at home, winning three of their last four matches at Craven Cottage. They scored three goals in each of those wins too – so will this be a similarly lively encounter for Newcastle?
The history between these sides is comfortably in the Magpies favour, Fulham only managing one win in the last ten league meetings – with Newcastle winning seven.
But with Eddie Howe’s side losing on the road to the likes of Everton and Luton in this campaign, maybe the hosts can start to redress the balance on Saturday.
With the Cottagers capable of impressing or underwhelming from one game to the next, and Newcastle generally still scoring a decent amount, perhaps backing goals is the way to go; over 3.5 goals is a 5/4 shot that would have paid off in Newcastle’s last five away games.
Luton vs Bournemouth
Bournemouth won 4-3 when these sides met last month – having trailed 3-0 at half-time. Can this one possibly live up to such a doolally encounter? It’s unlikely, but that’s not to say this one won’t be entertaining.
The Cherries are in a good place, unbeaten in five league games and having won their last three. Given Luton’s own less impressive results – they are winless in ten – it’s not hard to fancy the visitors at 22/25.
That said, Luton will doubtless go for it, so this could be another game with goals. Over 3.5 is a 59/50 shot.
Wolves vs West Ham
West Ham have drawn three of their last four – the exception came in that loss to Newcastle last week, where the Irons looked to have three points in the bag until a pretty wild reversal.
After that rollercoaster, will a point be the limit of David Moyes’ ambition on Saturday? Wolves have several injuries, so maybe the visitors will be tempted to go for it at Molineux.
Michail Antonio could be worth backing to find the net; he’s done so in two of his last three appearances for West Ham, and is 5/2 to find the net on Saturday.
Brighton vs Arsenal
Brighton held Liverpool to a 2-2 draw when De Zerbi’s side hosted the Reds in October; can the Seagulls make a similarly decent fist of it against a Gunners side who probably cannot afford any slip-ups in the race for the Prem?
Honestly, it sounds a little fanciful at the moment. Brighton are off the boil, with just three wins in 11. They’re still tough to beat at the Amex – the side are unbeaten in their last 12 home league games – but Arsenal must find a way if they’re to keep pace with league leaders Liverpool.
The Gunners’ draw with City last weekend were the first points Arteta’s side have dropped in 2024. That’s not to say this will be a cakewalk for the visitors; it could be tight, with four of Brighton’s last five home games in all competitions featuring two or fewer goals. Under 2.5 goals is a 27/20 shot here.
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